![]() ![]() ![]() Silver's overarching thesis is that in an era of big information, data can be used to predict man's destiny. I told my friends we had it in the bag? Although I still had plenty of anxiety." Edward, also from LA, posed the inevitable Hollywood question: "So Nate, who would you like to be played in the movie of your life?" ![]() Larry G from Los Angeles wrote: "Nate you're the man. On Tuesday night congratulations on doing it again poured in from fans. Republicans joked that he was actually from the future. In 2010 the New York Times licensed his blog. This prognosticative feat made him a household name he had more than 360,000 Twitter followers at the last count. Silver correctly predicted the winner of Obama v John McCain in 49 out of 50 states, as well as the winner of all 35 Senate races. Its probabalistic forecasts proved more accurate than those of any other system.īefore the 2008 presidential election he founded FiveThirtyEight (the number refers to the number of electoral college votes up for grabs, with 270 a majority). In 2003, bored of a consulting job, he designed Pecota, a system to predict the performance of Major League Baseball players. In his just-published book, The Signal and the Noise, Silver recounts how his love of data and mathematical models transformed him into the US's leading political seer. Silver also forecast 332 electoral college votes for Obama against 206 for Romney – the actual result, assuming Obama's Florida victory is confirmed. ![]()
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